11.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.5 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.0
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 196.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 11.2 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 3: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o10.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (62%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Teigvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
92.1
57
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Teig 92.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
45
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Teig 1.2/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
32.1
88
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Teig 32.1/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
84
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
Teig 0.4/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Teig 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
66
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Teig 0.3/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
71
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Teig 0.6/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.0
59
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Teig 31.0/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Teig92.1
57
SGI1925.5
100
Teig 92.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Teig1.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Runs
196.2per game · league avg 185.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else11.1(119)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.6(5)-2.6
Dry games11.2(114)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Runs
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLIsaiya Katoa9.86-38%
07-31DOLConnelly Lemuelu11.613+13%
07-31DOLTom Gilbert11.514+21%
07-26GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.716+50%
07-26GLDJojo Fifita11.49-21%
07-26GLDJayden Campbell9.48-15%
07-18WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.812+2%
07-18WARKurt Capewell9.89-8%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Teig's. Computed from this app's own records.