54.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 53.7 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 55.0
+7.5 opponent leak — they concede 1925.5/game vs a 1690.9 league average
vs them: averages 61.6 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o53.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Blaykevs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
53.7
31
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Blayke 53.7/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
42
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Blayke 1.1/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
40.4
98
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Blayke 40.4/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Blayke 0.1/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.1
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
Blayke 0.8/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Blayke 0.2/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
77
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Blayke 0.7/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
9.1
18
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Blayke 9.1/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 545.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Blayke53.7
31
SGI1925.5
100
Blayke 53.7/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Blayke1.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1925.5per game · league avg 1690.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else45.4(144)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)35.1(9)-11.0
Dry games46.1(135)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+2.3
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLFelise Kaufusi46.70-100%
07-31DOLKodi Nikorima51.7100+93%
07-26GLDZane Harrison48.260+24%
07-26GLDChris Randall60.881+33%
07-26GLDArama Hau57.973+26%
07-18WARWayde Egan49.741-18%
07-18WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava55.20-100%
07-04WSTBunty Afoa53.687+62%
Similar = season average within ±8.0 of Blayke's. Computed from this app's own records.