55.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 56.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 52.8
+5.5 opponent leak — they concede 598.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 74.2 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o56.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Addinvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
136.1
84
Run Metresfavorable
100
1914.7
Addin 136.1/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.6
80
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Addin 2.6/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.0
73
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Addin 24.0/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
30
Triesneutral
94
5.1
Addin 0.1/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
43
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Addin 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
43
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Addin 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
85
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Addin 0.9/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
56.4
95
Post Contact Metresfavorable
88
598.3
Addin 56.4/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Addin136.1
84
SGI1914.7
100
Addin 136.1/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Addin2.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Post Contact Metres
598.3per game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium29.0(1)-39.0
Everywhere else68.0(129)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)72.7(11)+5.5
Dry games67.2(119)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+16.1
Avg diff %
+30%
Hit rate
8/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo49.150+2%
07-31DOLJack Bostock52.864+21%
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth56.974+30%
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako49.061+24%
07-26GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui57.993+61%
07-26GLDBeau Fermor50.967+32%
07-18WARJames Fisher-Harris54.483+53%
07-18WARMitchell Barnett56.064+14%
Similar = season average within ±8.5 of Addin's. Computed from this app's own records.