13.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.2 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.5
+0.7 opponent leak — they concede 196.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 18.0 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (62%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Addinvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
139.1
84
Run Metresfavorable
100
1925.5
Addin 139.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
82
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Addin 2.7/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.5
74
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Addin 24.5/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
30
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Addin 0.1/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
45
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Addin 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
44
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Addin 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
84
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Addin 0.9/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
58.1
96
Post Contact Metresfavorable
88
601.3
Addin 58.1/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Addin139.1
84
SGI1925.5
100
Addin 139.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Addin2.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Runs
196.2per game · league avg 185.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else15.6(129)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)17.6(11)+2.2
Dry games15.4(118)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Runs
Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-6%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLConnelly Lemuelu11.613+13%
07-31DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki15.018+20%
07-31DOLTom Gilbert11.514+21%
07-26GLDJojo Fifita11.49-21%
07-26GLDSiale Faeamani13.90-100%
07-26GLDBeau Fermor14.417+18%
07-18WARErin Clark14.616+10%
07-18WARAdam Pompey11.510-13%
Similar = season average within ±2.0 of Addin's. Computed from this app's own records.