148.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 150.2 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 146.5
+20.1 opponent leak — they concede 1914.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 148.3 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o150.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Ronaldovs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
150.2
88
Run Metresfavorable
100
1914.7
Ronaldo 150.2/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.5
78
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Ronaldo 2.5/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.0
18
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Ronaldo 5.0/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
98
Triesfavorable
94
5.1
Ronaldo 0.9/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
78
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
Ronaldo 0.3/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
99
Line Breaksfavorable
75
6.0
Ronaldo 1.2/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
94
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Ronaldo 1.4/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
44.4
82
Post Contact Metresfavorable
88
598.3
Ronaldo 44.4/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Ronaldo150.2
88
SGI1914.7
100
Ronaldo 150.2/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Ronaldo2.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1914.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium158.0(1)+14.0
Everywhere else144.0(122)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)132.0(8)-13.0
Dry games145.0(115)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+14.3
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake136.185-38%
08-09CROSione Katoa164.7203+23%
08-09CROWilliam Kennedy146.9124-16%
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako161.2163+1%
07-31DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki153.0198+29%
07-31DOLJack Bostock161.8171+6%
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth161.8203+25%
07-26GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui145.3198+36%
Similar = season average within ±22.5 of Ronaldo's. Computed from this app's own records.