163.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 161.8 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 165.8
+23.0 opponent leak — they concede 1925.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
vs them: averages 134.1 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 5: 254 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o161.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sionevs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
161.8
93
Run Metresfavorable
100
1925.5
Sione 161.8/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.8
100
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Sione 6.8/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
3
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Sione 1.5/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
Sione 0.8/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Sione 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
97
Line Breaksfavorable
81
6.1
Sione 1.0/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
64
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Sione 0.5/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
42.5
79
Post Contact Metresfavorable
88
601.3
Sione 42.5/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Sione161.8
93
SGI1925.5
100
Sione 161.8/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Sione6.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1925.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else136.8(106)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)100.9(8)-38.9
Dry games139.7(98)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+38.7
Avg diff %
+25%
Hit rate
8/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako161.2163+1%
07-31DOLHerbie Farnworth161.8203+25%
07-31DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki153.0198+29%
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo185.2228+23%
07-31DOLJack Bostock161.8171+6%
07-26GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui145.3198+36%
07-18WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak151.6227+50%
07-18WARMitchell Barnett148.7190+28%
Similar = season average within ±24.3 of Sione's. Computed from this app's own records.