5.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.1 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 345.9/game vs a 344.7 league average
vs them: averages 3.3 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
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Splits · o5.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Williamvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
148.1
87
Run Metresfavorable
100
1925.5
William 148.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.2
87
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
William 3.2/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.1
18
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
William 5.1/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
88
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
William 0.5/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
91
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
William 0.6/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
81
Line Breaksfavorable
81
6.1
William 0.5/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
43
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
William 0.3/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
35.6
67
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
William 35.6/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
William148.1
87
SGI1925.5
100
William 148.1/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
William3.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Tackles
345.9per game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else5.3(134)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)4.4(8)-1.0
Dry games5.4(126)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Tackles
Avg diff
-0.5
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLJamayne Isaako4.34-7%
07-31DOLSelwyn Cobbo4.72-58%
07-31DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow6.14-34%
07-26GLDDean Ieremia4.02-50%
07-26GLDJaylan De Groot4.89+88%
07-18WARTaine Tuaupiki4.15+23%
07-18WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak4.23-28%
07-18WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira4.64-14%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of William's. Computed from this app's own records.