11.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 11.2 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.3
+0.7 opponent leak — they concede 365.4/game vs a 344.7 league average
+4.1 at this ground — averages 15.7 there (21 gm)
vs them: averages 11.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackles
365.4per game · league avg 344.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium15.7(21)+5.6
Everywhere else10.1(31)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)15.0(3)+2.8
Dry games12.2(49)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackles
Avg diff
-2.7
Avg diff %
-25%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENLuron Patea11.05-55%
07-25CBYStephen Crichton11.912+1%
07-18SGIMoses Suli10.40-100%
07-18SGIValentine Holmes12.1120%
07-10WSTHeamasi Makasini10.912+11%
06-13CROSiosifa Talakai11.211-1%
05-31PENLuron Patea11.00-100%
05-23SGIValentine Holmes12.117+41%
Similar = season average within ±1.7 of Jaiyden's. Computed from this app's own records.