14.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 14.0 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 15.4
+1.6 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 77 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 14.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaiydenvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
29.6
14
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Jaiyden 29.6/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Jaiyden 0.6/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
11.2
34
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Jaiyden 11.2/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Jaiyden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Jaiyden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Jaiyden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Jaiyden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.0
26
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Jaiyden 14.0/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jaiyden29.6
14
GLD1851.3
94
Jaiyden 29.6/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jaiyden0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium1.3(3)-10.4
Everywhere else11.8(49)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)6.3(3)-5.1
Dry games11.5(49)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+1.0
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLSam McIntyre14.80-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford15.110-34%
08-01WARTe Maire Martin15.910-37%
08-01WARWayde Egan12.627+115%
08-01WARRiley Price15.0150%
07-26SGIJacob Halangahu15.839+147%
07-26SGIDamien Cook13.410-25%
07-19MANJoey Walsh12.512-4%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Jaiyden's. Computed from this app's own records.