24.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 24.1 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 25.5
+1.5 opponent leak — they concede 365.4/game vs a 344.7 league average
−3.0 at this ground — averages 21.6 there (16 gm)
vs them: averages 22.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 44 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackles
365.4per game · league avg 344.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium21.6(16)+1.5
Everywhere else20.1(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)31.0(1)+10.4
Dry games20.6(29)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackles
Avg diff
-2.8
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENBlaize Talagi21.20-100%
08-07PENMoses Leota24.023-4%
08-07PENScott Sorensen23.733+40%
08-07PENLiam Martin26.630+13%
08-01GLDKurtis Morrin22.414-37%
08-01GLDKlese Haas23.328+20%
07-25CBYViliame Kikau22.824+5%
07-25CBYLachlan Galvin23.213-44%
Similar = season average within ±3.6 of Ben's. Computed from this app's own records.