7.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.1 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 7.0
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 7.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 8.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Benvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
73.7
44
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Ben 73.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
28
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Ben 0.7/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.1
73
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Ben 24.1/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Ben 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Ben 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Ben 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Ben 0.2/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.1
46
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Ben 24.1/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Ben73.7
44
GLD1851.3
94
Ben 73.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Ben0.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 185.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium9.0(2)+1.3
Everywhere else7.7(28)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(1)+0.2
Dry games7.8(29)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
+0.0
Avg diff %
-1%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJohn Bateman7.06-14%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame8.56-29%
08-06NQLCoen Hess7.54-47%
08-06NQLJake Clifford8.07-12%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter8.77-20%
08-01WARJacob Laban8.315+81%
08-01WARLeka Halasima9.515+57%
07-26SGIDylan Egan9.47-26%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ben's. Computed from this app's own records.