10.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.1 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.8
+0.5 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 9.4 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o10.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Brendanvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
84.7
51
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Brendan 84.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
52
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Brendan 1.5/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
19.3
60
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Brendan 19.3/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
55
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Brendan 0.2/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
66
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Brendan 0.2/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
36
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Brendan 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
41
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Brendan 0.3/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.4
63
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Brendan 33.4/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Brendan84.7
51
GLD1851.3
94
Brendan 84.7/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Brendan1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 185.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium5.0(3)-3.0
Everywhere else8.0(64)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)6.0(4)-2.0
Dry games8.0(63)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLZac Laybutt10.411+6%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki10.88-26%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter8.77-20%
08-01WARAli Leiataua9.813+33%
08-01WARLeka Halasima9.515+57%
08-01WARAdam Pompey11.50-100%
08-01WARTe Maire Martin11.210-11%
08-01WARKurt Capewell9.812+22%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Brendan's. Computed from this app's own records.