162.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 161.9 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 163.4
−2.0 opponent leak — they concede 1669.6/game vs a 1690.9 league average
+4.4 at this ground — averages 166.9 there (66 gm)
vs them: averages 166.0 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 13: 281 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Run Metres
1669.6per game · league avg 1690.9
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium166.9(66)+2.3
Everywhere else164.6(47)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)169.6(7)+3.8
Dry games165.7(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-5.9
Avg diff %
-4%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31SGISetu Tu153.9163+6%
07-31SGIClinton Gutherson151.1210+39%
07-31SGIToby Couchman141.969-51%
07-19NQLJason Taumalolo154.31540%
07-19NQLTom Chester174.31750%
07-19NQLBraidon Burns185.2203+10%
07-19NQLScott Drinkwater149.990-40%
07-19NQLMurray Taulagi153.71530%
Similar = season average within ±24.3 of Payne's. Computed from this app's own records.