12.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.8 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.1
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
−1.1 at this ground — averages 11.8 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 11.2 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o12.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Kotonivs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
118.4
73
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Kotoni 118.4/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.6
91
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Kotoni 3.6/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
15.5
48
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Kotoni 15.5/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
87
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Kotoni 0.5/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
59
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Kotoni 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
74
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Kotoni 0.4/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
86
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Kotoni 0.9/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
39.2
73
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Kotoni 39.2/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Kotoni118.4
73
GLD1851.3
94
Kotoni 118.4/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Kotoni3.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 185.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium11.8(5)+0.2
Everywhere else11.6(110)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.1(9)-0.5
Dry games11.6(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
-0.8
Avg diff %
-9%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue13.513-4%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo13.712-12%
08-06NQLThomas Mikaele12.513+4%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.89-24%
08-01WARErin Clark14.616+10%
08-01WARAdam Pompey11.50-100%
08-01WARCharnze Nicoll-Klokstad13.823+66%
08-01WARTe Maire Martin11.210-11%
Similar = season average within ±1.9 of Kotoni's. Computed from this app's own records.