18.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.8 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 19.1
−1.0 opponent leak — they concede 175.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
−4.6 at this ground — averages 13.7 there (26 gm)
vs them: averages 13.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 13: 27 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Runs
175.7per game · league avg 185.9
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium13.7(26)+0.9
Everywhere else12.8(20)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)17.0(2)+3.8
Dry games13.2(44)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Runs
Avg diff
+0.9
Avg diff %
+5%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENBrian To'o19.016-16%
08-07PENThomas Jenkins19.224+25%
08-01GLDDean Ieremia15.814-11%
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui15.516+3%
07-25CBYConnor Tracey20.121+5%
07-25CBYJacob Kiraz20.223+14%
07-25CBYEnari Tuala15.921+32%
07-18SGIClinton Gutherson17.916-11%
Similar = season average within ±2.7 of Josiah's. Computed from this app's own records.