2.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.5 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.6
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 354.8/game vs a 344.9 league average
vs them: averages 2.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackles
354.8per game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else2.4(36)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)2.7(6)+0.3
Dry games2.4(30)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackles
Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+14%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan3.20-100%
08-09SGISetu Tu3.21-68%
08-02SOUMatthew Dufty1.94+108%
07-26MANNicholas Lenaz3.514+300%
07-26MANBlake Wilson1.30-100%
07-17NEWDominic Young2.03+50%
07-17NEWKalyn Ponga3.32-38%
07-17NEWGreg Marzhew1.81-43%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Savelio's. Computed from this app's own records.