20.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 20.4 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 20.4
+2.3 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o20.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lachlanvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
53.2
30
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Lachlan 53.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
17
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Lachlan 0.4/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.2
53
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Lachlan 17.2/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Lachlan 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Lachlan 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Lachlan 0.2/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Lachlan 0.2/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.4
39
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Lachlan 20.4/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Lachlan53.2
30
GLD1851.3
94
Lachlan 53.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Lachlan0.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium18.5(2)-3.2
Everywhere else21.7(3)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)37.0(1)+20.8
Dry games16.3(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+7.4
Avg diff %
+35%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater23.121-9%
08-06NQLMatthew Lodge17.50-100%
08-06NQLKai O'Donnell19.636+84%
08-01WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava21.881+271%
07-26SGITyrell Sloan19.758+195%
07-26SGIEmre Guler22.40-100%
07-26SGIJosh Kerr18.815-20%
07-19MANJake Trbojevic19.811-44%
Similar = season average within ±3.1 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.