3.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.8 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 6 3.8
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 548.9/game vs a 544.2 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 15: 21 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Post Contact Metres
548.9per game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else3.8(6)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games3.8(6)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-0.5
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARLuke Metcalf4.68+76%
08-01CBRJoe Roddy4.90-100%
07-16BRIBen Hunt2.60-100%
07-16BRICory Paix3.84+6%
07-03SOUJayden Sullivan4.10-100%
06-27NQLSoni Luke3.48+136%
06-20GLDJett Liu3.65+39%
06-07WSTJock Madden4.32-53%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Rex's. Computed from this app's own records.