3.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.0 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 6 3.0
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 181.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
−2.8 at this ground — averages 0.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 15: 17 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Runs
181.2per game · league avg 185.9
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium0.3(4)-8.3
Everywhere else8.5(2)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games3.0(6)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Runs
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+13%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31MELTrent Toelau3.811+186%
07-31MELJack Hetherington2.10-100%
07-31MELAngus Hinchey4.37+65%
07-25WARLuke Metcalf2.30-100%
07-25WARSam Healey3.40-100%
07-18WSTLatu Fainu2.46+147%
07-11CBROwen Pattie3.87+83%
07-11CBRTom Starling4.51-78%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Rex's. Computed from this app's own records.