4.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.3 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 4 4.3
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 192.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 3.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Runs
192.6per game · league avg 185.9
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else4.3(4)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(1)-1.7
Dry games4.7(3)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Runs
Avg diff
-0.7
Avg diff %
-6%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUJamie Humphreys4.90-100%
08-08SOUAdam Elliott4.512+167%
08-08SOUBrandon Smith5.35-6%
08-02WSTApisai Koroisau4.85+4%
07-23PENFreddy Lussick3.28+154%
07-23PENIzack Tago5.60-100%
07-11SYDRex Bassingthwaighte3.01-67%
07-11SYDTommy Talau5.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Dayne's. Computed from this app's own records.