Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
40.6−18.9 vs your line
35.6 baseline — his last 5 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
+5.0 opponent leak — they concede 1925.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
vs them: averages 52.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o59.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Niwhaivs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
59.3
36
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Niwhai 59.3/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
49
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Niwhai 1.3/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.3
81
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Niwhai 28.3/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesfavorable
100
5.2
Niwhai 0.3/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
82
Try Assistsfavorable
69
3.9
Niwhai 0.3/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksfavorable
81
6.1
Niwhai 0.3/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
73
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Niwhai 0.7/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.7
26
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Niwhai 13.7/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Niwhai59.3
36
SGI1925.5
100
Niwhai 59.3/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Niwhai1.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1925.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else35.6(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games35.6(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+6.9
Avg diff %
+11%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLRay Stone65.178+20%
07-26GLDKlese Haas66.363-5%
07-26GLDChris Randall60.881+33%
07-26GLDCooper Bai66.284+27%
07-26GLDArama Hau57.973+26%
07-18WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava55.20-100%
07-04WSTBunty Afoa53.687+62%
07-04WSTAlex Seyfarth53.668+27%
Similar = season average within ±8.9 of Niwhai's. Computed from this app's own records.