2.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.0 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 2.0
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 354.1/game vs a 344.9 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackles
354.1per game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else2.0(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-2.5
Dry games2.5(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackles
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+36%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDCody Ramsey2.06+200%
08-07SYDRex Bassingthwaighte1.50-100%
08-07SYDTommy Talau1.80-100%
07-31MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown2.71-63%
07-18WSTFaaletino Tavana3.30-100%
07-18WSTJeral Skelton2.212+442%
07-11CBRKaeo Weekes3.52-42%
06-26GLDKeano Kini3.35+54%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Reece's. Computed from this app's own records.