25.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 25.5 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 4 25.5
+2.8 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 30.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o25.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Antoniovs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
72.5
44
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Antonio 72.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
31
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Antonio 0.8/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
8.8
29
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Antonio 8.8/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
68
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Antonio 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Antonio 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Antonio 0.3/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Antonio 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
25.5
47
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Antonio 25.5/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Antonio72.5
44
GLD1851.3
94
Antonio 72.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Antonio0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium30.0(1)+6.0
Everywhere else24.0(3)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games25.5(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+14.2
Avg diff %
+59%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater23.121-9%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue28.712-58%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame28.931+7%
08-06NQLJohn Bateman26.030+15%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt27.441+50%
08-01WARJacob Laban26.362+136%
08-01WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava21.881+271%
08-01WARAli Leiataua29.147+61%
Similar = season average within ±3.8 of Antonio's. Computed from this app's own records.