3.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.8 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 3.8
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 333/game vs a 344.9 league average
−0.8 at this ground — averages 3 there (4 gm)
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o3.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jettvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
10.6
4
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Jett 10.6/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.8
10
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Jett 3.8/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.0
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Jett 0.2/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.6
7
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Jett 3.6/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jett10.6
4
NQL1785.8
75
Jett 10.6/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jett0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tackles
333.0per game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At Cbus Super Stadium3.0(4)-4.0
Everywhere else7.0(1)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)+4.0
Dry games3.0(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Tackles
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDDean Ieremia4.01-75%
08-06GLDKeano Kini3.30-100%
08-06GLDJaylan De Groot4.814+193%
08-06GLDPhillip Sami3.63-15%
07-30SYDJames Tedesco2.80-100%
07-30SYDMark Nawaqanitawase3.84+5%
07-25BRIJosiah Karapani4.56+33%
07-25BRIReece Walsh4.73-36%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jett's. Computed from this app's own records.