10.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.6 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 10.6
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 1785.8/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−8.6 at this ground — averages 2 there (4 gm)
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o10.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jettvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
10.6
4
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Jett 10.6/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.8
10
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Jett 3.8/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.0
Jett 0.0/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Jett 0.2/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.6
7
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Jett 3.6/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jett10.6
4
NQL1785.8
75
Jett 10.6/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jett0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Run Metres
1785.8per game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium2.0(4)-43.0
Everywhere else45.0(1)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)45.0(1)+43.0
Dry games2.0(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-5.8
Avg diff %
-58%
Hit rate
1/6
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDSam Verrills9.52-79%
06-21WARMakaia Tafua11.516+39%
05-31CBRJordan Uta11.30-100%
04-10BRIBlake Mozer9.69-6%
03-22GLDSam Verrills9.50-100%
03-14WSTTristan Hope10.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Jett's. Computed from this app's own records.