26.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 25.1 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 27.3
+0.5 opponent leak — they concede 351.7/game vs a 344.9 league average
−0.3 at this ground — averages 25.7 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 20.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 45 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 25.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.5°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 7.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Brandonvs all playersStatDOL concedePer game
17.0
8
Run Metresunfavorable
38
1652.5
Brandon 17.0/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
11
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
13
30.4
Brandon 0.2/game
DOL concedes 30.4/game · league avg 32.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
25.1
75
Tacklesfavorable
69
351.7
Brandon 25.1/game
DOL concedes 351.7/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Triesneutral
44
4.0
Brandon 0.2/game
DOL concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Try Assistsneutral
56
3.5
Brandon 0.2/game
DOL concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
50
4.8
Brandon 0.0/game
DOL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
20
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.0
Brandon 0.1/game
DOL concedes 8.0/game · league avg 9.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.2
4
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
44
539.6
Brandon 2.2/game
DOL concedes 539.6/game · league avg 544.2
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Brandon17.0
8
DOL1652.5
38
Brandon 17.0/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Brandon0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Tackles
351.7per game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At 4 Pines Park25.7(7)+5.7
Everywhere else20.0(35)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)29.5(2)+9.0
Dry games20.5(40)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Tackles
Avg diff
-2.4
Avg diff %
-8%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIJack Gosiewski25.00-100%
08-08BRIBilly Walters21.330+41%
08-08BRIBen Talty24.121-13%
07-31SGIEmre Guler22.827+19%
07-31SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga26.429+10%
07-31SGIJacob Liddle25.421-17%
07-19NQLGriffin Neame22.423+3%
07-19NQLTom Dearden23.721-11%
Similar = season average within ±3.8 of Brandon's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown19.5