5.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.2 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 6 5.2
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o5.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Liamvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
42.8
23
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Liam 42.8/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
49
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Liam 1.3/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
19.0
59
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Liam 19.0/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Liam 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
82
Try Assistsfavorable
75
4.0
Liam 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Liam 0.3/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
49
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Liam 0.3/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
10.0
19
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Liam 10.0/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Liam42.8
23
GLD1851.3
94
Liam 42.8/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Liam1.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 185.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else5.2(6)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games5.2(6)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
+1.3
Avg diff %
+22%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLSam McIntyre4.90-100%
08-06NQLKai O'Donnell4.98+63%
08-06NQLMatthew Lodge5.60-100%
08-01WARChanel Harris-Tavita4.810+107%
08-01WARWayde Egan5.48+50%
08-01WARRiley Price5.050%
08-01WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava6.018+200%
07-26SGIJosh Kerr5.43-44%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Liam's. Computed from this app's own records.