15.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 15.5 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 16.3
+1.0 opponent leak — they concede 365.4/game vs a 344.7 league average
+1.7 at this ground — averages 17.5 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 19.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackles
365.4per game · league avg 344.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium17.5(13)+3.0
Everywhere else14.6(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)21.0(3)+6.0
Dry games15.0(48)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackles
Avg diff
+1.4
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENPaul Alamoti13.318+36%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita17.217-1%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson15.914-12%
08-01GLDZane Harrison17.218+5%
07-25CBYEnari Tuala13.820+45%
07-25CBYMatt Burton15.912-25%
07-18SGIJosh Kerr15.79-43%
07-10WSTBunty Afoa17.730+70%
Similar = season average within ±2.3 of Jock's. Computed from this app's own records.