4.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.3 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 4.5
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 494.6/game vs a 544.6 league average
+4.6 at this ground — averages 9 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 8.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 11: 20 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Post Contact Metres
494.6per game · league avg 544.6
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium9.0(13)+3.8
Everywhere else5.2(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(3)+4.1
Dry games5.9(48)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.9
Avg diff %
-47%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENJack Cole4.29+115%
07-25CBYSean O'Sullivan3.60-100%
07-25CBYGordon Chan Kum Tong4.50-100%
07-25CBYJed Reardon4.30-100%
07-18SGILyhkan King-Togia4.30-100%
07-10WSTJared Haywood4.03-25%
06-21NQLSoni Luke3.42-41%
06-21NQLReed Mahoney5.44-27%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jock's. Computed from this app's own records.