10.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.6 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 11.2
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 193.8/game vs a 186.3 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 21.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Runs
193.8per game · league avg 186.3
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium0.0(1)-10.4
Everywhere else10.4(12)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)21.0(1)+12.3
Dry games8.7(12)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Runs
Avg diff
-2.5
Avg diff %
-27%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTStarford To'a9.10-100%
08-02WSTPatrick Herbert8.810+14%
08-02WSTSione Fainu8.63-65%
08-02WSTHeath Mason10.00-100%
08-02WSTSamuela Fainu10.79-16%
08-02WSTJarome Luai11.19-19%
07-23PENLiam Martin10.515+43%
07-23PENScott Sorensen8.611+29%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Latrell's. Computed from this app's own records.