19.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 19.1 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 18.7
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 347.8/game vs a 344.9 league average
vs them: averages 23.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · 19.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.5°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 7.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Thomasvs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
80.9
50
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1613.3
Thomas 80.9/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.4
50
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Thomas 1.4/game
MAN concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
19.1
59
Tacklesneutral
56
347.8
Thomas 19.1/game
MAN concedes 347.8/game · league avg 344.9
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Triesunfavorable
25
3.8
Thomas 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.8/game · league avg 4.2
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
25
3.1
Thomas 0.0/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Thomas 0.1/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
77
Offloadsfavorable
100
11.6
Thomas 0.7/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.1
55
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
514.9
Thomas 29.1/game
MAN concedes 514.9/game · league avg 544.2
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Thomas80.9
50
MAN1613.3
31
Thomas 80.9/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Thomas1.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Tackles
347.8per game · league avg 344.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At 4 Pines Park—(0)
Everywhere else22.3(79)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)23.3(7)+1.1
Dry games22.2(72)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MAN · Tackles
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MELJoe Chan20.213-36%
08-08MELHayden Watson18.030+67%
08-08MELOryn Keeley19.235+82%
08-08MELTyran Wishart18.823+22%
07-26CROKL Iro17.220+16%
07-19GLDJosh Patston18.516-13%
07-19GLDJayden Campbell17.911-39%
07-19GLDSam Verrills19.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±2.9 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown19.5