8.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.3 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 7.9
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 194.8/game vs a 185.9 league average
+2.3 at this ground — averages 10.4 there (45 gm)
vs them: averages 10.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Runs
194.8per game · league avg 185.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium10.4(45)-0.1
Everywhere else10.5(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(7)+1.1
Dry games10.4(72)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Runs
Avg diff
-2.2
Avg diff %
-30%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLMax Plath8.714+60%
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa9.86-38%
08-08DOLMorgan Knowles7.84-49%
08-08DOLFrancis Molo8.13-63%
08-08DOLKurt Donoghoe8.612+39%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima7.12-72%
08-01NEWTyson Frizell9.48-15%
08-01NEWFletcher Hunt7.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.