8.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 7.8 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.3
+1.2 opponent leak — they concede 618.4/game vs a 544.2 league average
+1.2 at this ground — averages 10 there (4 gm)
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o7.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Zanevs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
48.2
26
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Zane 48.2/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Zane 0.6/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.2
53
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Zane 17.2/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Zane 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Try Assistsfavorable
88
4.1
Zane 0.4/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
32
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.0
Zane 0.1/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
20
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Zane 0.1/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
7.8
15
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Zane 7.8/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Zane48.2
26
NQL1785.8
75
Zane 48.2/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1686.6
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Zane0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Post Contact Metres
618.4per game · league avg 544.2
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium10.0(4)+3.1
Everywhere else6.9(10)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(2)-6.8
Dry games8.8(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+1.0
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDLachlan Ilias6.30-100%
07-25BRIBilly Walters7.33-59%
07-25BRIAdam Reynolds7.319+161%
07-19DOLKodi Nikorima7.19+26%
07-19DOLBradley Schneider7.617+125%
07-12MANJake Simpkin8.112+49%
07-12MANJamal Fogarty8.73-65%
06-27PENJack Cogger6.64-40%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Zane's. Computed from this app's own records.