13.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.9 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 9 13.9
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 11.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 21: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sialevs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
130.2
80
Run Metresfavorable
75
1785.8
Siale 130.2/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.8
93
Tackle Breaksfavorable
94
36.5
Siale 3.8/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.8
7
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Siale 2.8/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Triesfavorable
81
4.8
Siale 0.4/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
58
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Siale 0.1/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksfavorable
75
6.0
Siale 0.3/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
49
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Siale 0.3/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
46.6
85
Post Contact Metresfavorable
100
618.4
Siale 46.6/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Siale130.2
80
NQL1785.8
75
Siale 130.2/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Siale3.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Runs
186.0per game · league avg 185.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium16.0(3)+3.2
Everywhere else12.8(6)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games13.9(9)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Runs
Avg diff
+2.0
Avg diff %
+15%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDDean Ieremia15.813-18%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor14.415+4%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui15.521+36%
07-30SYDSiua Wong12.912-7%
07-30SYDSam Walker11.814+18%
07-30SYDNat Butcher13.721+53%
07-25BRIGehamat Shibasaki12.016+33%
07-25BRIPayne Haas15.115-1%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Siale's. Computed from this app's own records.