AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Barrass
Tom Barrass
Hawthorn · vs ESS
5.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.6
L5
4.4
L10
4.9
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 076ESSMar 139SYDMar 1912GEEApr 0610WBDApr 118PORApr 183GCSApr 256COLApr 300FREMay 074GCSJun 193GWSJun 265MELJul 043CARJul 117RICJul 19?ESSJul 255.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Tom5.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Tom4.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Tom0.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Tom0.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Tom0.5
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Tom3.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Tom0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.6.4(17)+1.3
Everywhere else5.1(22)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(5)-1.9
Dry games5.9(34)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.