AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Barrass
Tom Barrass
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 HBO U
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.5
L5
3.6
L10
3.1
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5GWSMar 072ESSMar 136SYDMar 195GEEApr 062WBDApr 114PORApr 185GCSApr 251COLApr 301FREMay 073GCSJun 193GWSJun 260MELJul 045CARJul 117RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Tom5.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Tom4.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Tom0.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Tom0.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Tom0.5
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Tom3.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Tom0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.5(17)+1.3
Everywhere else3.3(22)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)4.6(5)+0.9
Dry games3.7(34)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.