AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Barrass
Tom Barrass
Hawthorn · vs ESS
9.5 DIO U
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
9.1
L5
8.0
L10
8.0
High
17
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GWSMar 078ESSMar 1315SYDMar 1917GEEApr 0612WBDApr 1112PORApr 188GCSApr 257COLApr 301FREMay 077GCSJun 196GWSJun 265MELJul 048CARJul 1114RICJul 19?ESSJul 259.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom9.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Tom5.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Tom4.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Tom0.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Tom0.1
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Tom0.5
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Tom3.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Tom0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.10.9(17)+2.6
Everywhere else8.4(22)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)8.6(5)-1.0
Dry games9.6(34)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.