Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

GCS

Lachlan Gulbin

Gold Coast · vs MEL

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

38% (3/8)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.4

1.4

L10

2.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lachlanvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

10.8Disposals382.0

4.8Kicks220.8

2.4Marks101.2

2.1Tackles51.0

0.0Clearances35.6

2.1Inside 50s52.3

3.6Contested Poss.129.3

0.4Goals13.1

Disposals

Lachlan10.8

MEL382.0

Kicks

Lachlan4.8

MEL220.8

Marks

Lachlan2.4

MEL101.2

Tackles

Lachlan2.1

MEL51.0

Clearances

Lachlan0.0

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Lachlan2.1

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Lachlan3.6

MEL129.3

Goals

Lachlan0.4

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Marks

101.2per game · league avg 93.0

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Carrara2.5(2)-0.1

Everywhere else2.6(7)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games2.6(9)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.