Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

GCS

Oscar Adams

Gold Coast · vs MEL

9.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

54% (7/13)

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Avg

9.9

9.6

L10

10.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs MEL

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (30%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Oscarvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game

9.9Disposals382.0

4.4Kicks220.8

3.7Marks101.2

1.4Tackles51.0

0.0Clearances35.6

0.5Inside 50s52.3

2.9Contested Poss.129.3

0.0Goals13.1

Disposals

Oscar9.9

MEL382.0

Kicks

Oscar4.4

MEL220.8

Marks

Oscar3.7

MEL101.2

Tackles

Oscar1.4

MEL51.0

Clearances

Oscar0.0

MEL35.6

Inside 50s

Oscar0.5

MEL52.3

Contested Poss.

Oscar2.9

MEL129.3

Goals

Oscar0.0

MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Carrara9.1(11)+0.8

Everywhere else8.3(10)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games8.7(21)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.