PProject Punt
AFLNRLNBLHorsesDogs
⌕/
Sign inSign up
© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
Bailey SmithBailey SmithHB12.5Max HolmesMax HolmesHB12.5Tom AtkinsTom AtkinsHB11.5ODOliver DempseyHB9.5Gryan MiersGryan MiersHB9.5Rhys StanleyRhys StanleyHB9.5GSGeorge StevensHB9.5TBTanner BruhnHB8.5SKSam De KoningHB8.5Mark BlicavsMark BlicavsHB7.5Jack BowesJack BowesHB7.5Jhye ClarkJhye ClarkHB7.5
Elijah TsatasElijah TsatasHB13.5Zach MerrettZach MerrettHB12.5Darcy ParishDarcy ParishHB12.5Sam DurhamSam DurhamHB10.5Andrew McGrath

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Bailey SmithBailey Smith12.5Max HolmesMax Holmes12.5Tom AtkinsTom Atkins11.5ODOliver Dempsey9.5Gryan MiersGryan Miers9.5Rhys StanleyRhys Stanley9.5GS
Andrew McGrath
HB
9.5
Jye CaldwellJye CaldwellHB9.5
Brayden FioriniBrayden FioriniHB9.5
Will SetterfieldWill SetterfieldHB8.5
SRSullivan RobeyHB8.5
Archie RobertsArchie RobertsHB8.5
Xavier DuursmaXavier DuursmaHB8.5
Jayden NguyenJayden NguyenHB8.5
George Stevens
9.5
TBTanner Bruhn8.5
SKSam De Koning8.5
Mark BlicavsMark Blicavs7.5
Jack BowesJack Bowes7.5
Jhye ClarkJhye Clark7.5
Elijah TsatasElijah Tsatas13.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett12.5
Darcy ParishDarcy Parish12.5
Sam DurhamSam Durham10.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrath9.5
Jye CaldwellJye Caldwell9.5
Brayden FioriniBrayden Fiorini9.5
Will SetterfieldWill Setterfield8.5
SRSullivan Robey8.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts8.5
Xavier DuursmaXavier Duursma8.5
Jayden NguyenJayden Nguyen8.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
OW
Oliver Wiltshire
Geelong · vs ESS
4.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.3
L5
4.6
L10
4.1
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o4.5
6ADEMar 264HAWApr 062WCEApr 123WBDApr 175ADEJun 044GCSJun 125FREJun 183BRIJul 022GWSJul 118STKJul 165MELJul 24?ESSAug 084.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Olivervs all playersStatESS concedePer game
10.9
22
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Oliver 10.9/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.6
28
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Oliver 6.6/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.9
8
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Oliver 1.9/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.6
30
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Oliver 1.6/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.5
33
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Oliver 0.5/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.9
76
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Oliver 2.9/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.6
20
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Oliver 3.6/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.1
84
Goalsfavorable
94
15.2
Oliver 1.1/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Oliver10.9
22
ESS402.2
100
Oliver 10.9/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Oliver6.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

168.2per game · league avg 155.7
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Kardinia Park4.8(5)+1.5
Everywhere else3.3(8)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games3.8(13)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs ESS · Handballs

Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWNoah Mraz4.35+18%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick5.410+86%
07-25HAWTom Barrass3.84+6%
07-25HAWMitch Lewis4.42-54%
07-25HAWNick Watson5.77+23%
07-19GWSHarry Rowston5.89+57%
07-19GWSMax Gruzewski3.030%
07-19GWSJake Stringer3.11-68%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Oliver's. Computed from this app's own records.
28
ESS234.0
100
Oliver 6.6/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Oliver1.9
8
ESS118.6
100
Oliver 1.9/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Oliver1.6
30
ESS50.3
12
Oliver 1.6/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Oliver0.5
33
ESS33.6
18
Oliver 0.5/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sfavorable
Oliver2.9
76
ESS55.8
88
Oliver 2.9/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Oliver3.6
20
ESS121.8
6
Oliver 3.6/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsfavorable
Oliver1.1
84
ESS15.2
94
Oliver 1.1/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded