P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Bailey Smith
Bailey Smith
Geelong · @ COL
19.5 KIO —U —
Hit rate
53% (9/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
19.8
L5
19.8
L10
18.6
High
25
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
17GCSMar 0622FREMar 1425ADEMar 2622HAWApr 0624WCEApr 1224WBDApr 1716PORApr 2514NORMay 0221COLMay 0921BRIMay 1412SYDMay 2319CARMay 2919ADEJun 0419GCSJun 1217BRIJul 0221GWSJul 1123STKJul 16?COLJul 3019.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey32.4
COL389.3
Kicks
Bailey19.8
COL227.3
Marks
Bailey4.2
COL105.6
Tackles
Bailey4.9
COL48.4
Clearances
Bailey5.5
COL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey7.2
COL55.2
Contested Poss.
Bailey11.4
COL128.0
Goals
Bailey0.5
COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.19.7(11)
Everywhere else19.8(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)19.0(2)-0.8
Dry games19.8(38)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.