AFL
PProjectPunt
Bailey Smith
Bailey Smith
Geelong · @ MEL
0.5 GLO U
Hit rate
41% (7/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.4
L10
0.5
High
2
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0GCSMar 061FREMar 140ADEMar 260HAWApr 061WCEApr 121WBDApr 170PORApr 250NORMay 020COLMay 092BRIMay 141SYDMay 230CARMay 290ADEJun 040GCSJun 120BRIJul 021GWSJul 111STKJul 16?MELJul 240.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey32.4
MEL382.0
Kicks
Bailey19.8
MEL220.8
Marks
Bailey4.2
MEL101.2
Tackles
Bailey4.9
MEL51.0
Clearances
Bailey5.5
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Bailey7.2
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Bailey11.4
MEL129.3
Goals
Bailey0.5
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Goals

13.1per game · league avg 12.7
#7 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.0.4(11)-0.1
Everywhere else0.4(29)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)+0.1
Dry games0.4(38)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.