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Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Baileyvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
32.1
100
Disposalsfavorable
100
402.2
Bailey 32.1/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
19.7
99
Kicksfavorable
100
234.0
Bailey 19.7/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.2
61
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Bailey 4.2/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.8
94
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Bailey 4.8/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.4
95
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Bailey 5.4/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.2
100
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Bailey 7.2/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
11.1
97
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Bailey 11.1/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.4
60
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Bailey 0.4/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsfavorable
Bailey32.1
100
ESS402.2
100
Bailey 32.1/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksfavorable
Bailey19.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Disposals
402.2per game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Disposals
At Kardinia Park30.9(16)-1.2
Everywhere else32.1(25)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Disposals
Wet games (≥1mm)35.5(2)+4.0
Dry games31.5(39)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs ESS · Disposals
Avg diff
+2.5
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-19GWSFinn Callaghan28.127-4%
07-19GWSLachie Ash29.123-21%
07-19GWSClayton Oliver31.323-27%
07-19GWSLachie Whitfield28.323-19%
07-12BRILachie Neale30.440+32%
07-12BRIWill Ashcroft28.133+17%
07-05STKNasiah Wanganeen-Milera31.146+48%
06-28NORHarry Sheezel31.643+36%
Similar = season average within ±4.8 of Bailey's. Computed from this app's own records.
