P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
ADE
Daniel Curtin
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.1
L5
3.4
L10
4.1
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4PORMay 015RICMay 105NORMay 16☂2HAWMay 215GEEJun 047WBDJun 117MELJun 202PORJun 273WCEJul 032GCSJul 113SYDJul 17?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Daniel14.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Daniel9.5
ESS232.6
Marks
Daniel4.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Daniel3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Daniel1.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Daniel2.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Daniel5.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Daniel0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands5.7(3)+1.7
Everywhere else3.9(40)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.6(5)+1.8
Dry games3.8(38)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.