Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Murphy Reid

Fremantle · vs WBD

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.1

1.6

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Murphyvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

23.7Disposals388.2

12.3Kicks229.6

3.6Marks106.7

2.1Tackles61.2

2.1Clearances35.7

4.2Inside 50s54.1

6.8Contested Poss.132.4

0.6Goals12.6

Disposals

Murphy23.7

WBD388.2

Kicks

Murphy12.3

WBD229.6

Marks

Murphy3.6

WBD106.7

Tackles

Murphy2.1

WBD61.2

Clearances

Murphy2.1

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Murphy4.2

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Murphy6.8

WBD132.4

Goals

Murphy0.6

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Tackles

61.2per game · league avg 56.9

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Perth Stadium2.2(23)+0.4

Everywhere else1.8(19)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-1.6

Dry games2.1(40)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.