Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

ESS

Archie May

Essendon · vs ADE

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (5/10)

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Avg

2.6

2.0

L10

2.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Archievs all playersStatADE concedePer game

5.8Disposals356.6

4.5Kicks210.2

3.2Marks80.6

2.6Tackles60.7

0.1Clearances39.3

1.5Inside 50s52.4

3.2Contested Poss.138.8

1.4Goals11.1

Disposals

Archie5.8

ADE356.6

Kicks

Archie4.5

ADE210.2

Marks

Archie3.2

ADE80.6

Tackles

Archie2.6

ADE60.7

Clearances

Archie0.1

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Archie1.5

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Archie3.2

ADE138.8

Goals

Archie1.4

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Tackles

60.7per game · league avg 56.9

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands2.8(4)+0.1

Everywhere else2.6(13)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-2.8

Dry games3.1(14)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.