Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

ESS

Archie May

Essendon · vs ADE

4.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

40% (4/10)

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Avg

4.5

4.4

L10

4.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Archievs all playersStatADE concedePer game

5.8Disposals356.6

4.5Kicks210.2

3.2Marks80.6

2.6Tackles60.7

0.1Clearances39.3

1.5Inside 50s52.4

3.2Contested Poss.138.8

1.4Goals11.1

Disposals

Archie5.8

ADE356.6

Kicks

Archie4.5

ADE210.2

Marks

Archie3.2

ADE80.6

Tackles

Archie2.6

ADE60.7

Clearances

Archie0.1

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Archie1.5

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Archie3.2

ADE138.8

Goals

Archie1.4

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Kicks

210.2per game · league avg 213.8

#11 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands5.0(4)-0.2

Everywhere else5.2(13)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.3(3)-2.2

Dry games5.6(14)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.