Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

CAR

Adam Cerra

Carlton · vs BRI

19.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

19.6

18.0

L10

18.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs BRI

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Adamvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

19.6Disposals356.9

11.0Kicks198.7

4.6Marks79.9

3.7Tackles54.9

2.3Clearances32.9

3.1Inside 50s53.7

6.9Contested Poss.126.1

0.3Goals13.2

Disposals

Adam19.6

BRI356.9

Kicks

Adam11.0

BRI198.7

Marks

Adam4.6

BRI79.9

Tackles

Adam3.7

BRI54.9

Clearances

Adam2.3

BRI32.9

Inside 50s

Adam3.1

BRI53.7

Contested Poss.

Adam6.9

BRI126.1

Goals

Adam0.3

BRI13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Disposals

356.9per game · league avg 369.3

#14 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands22.5(23)-0.6

Everywhere else23.1(64)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)26.6(5)+3.9

Dry games22.7(82)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.