Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

ESS

Tom Edwards

Essendon · vs ADE

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

71% (5/7)

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Avg

0.7

0.6

L10

0.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tomvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

9.1Disposals356.6

5.9Kicks210.2

2.7Marks80.6

1.9Tackles60.7

0.3Clearances39.3

2.0Inside 50s52.4

3.7Contested Poss.138.8

1.1Goals11.1

Disposals

Tom9.1

ADE356.6

Kicks

Tom5.9

ADE210.2

Marks

Tom2.7

ADE80.6

Tackles

Tom1.9

ADE60.7

Clearances

Tom0.3

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Tom2.0

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Tom3.7

ADE138.8

Goals

Tom1.1

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Frees For

19.8per game · league avg 19.0

#8 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.7(3)-0.3

Everywhere else1.0(6)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-1.0

Dry games1.0(8)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.