Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

ESS

Archer Day-Wicks

Essendon · vs ADE

0.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

44% (7/16)

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Avg

0.5

0.2

L10

0.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Archervs all playersStatADE concedePer game

11.3Disposals356.6

5.5Kicks210.2

2.5Marks80.6

3.3Tackles60.7

0.5Clearances39.3

2.1Inside 50s52.4

4.0Contested Poss.138.8

0.4Goals11.1

Disposals

Archer11.3

ADE356.6

Kicks

Archer5.5

ADE210.2

Marks

Archer2.5

ADE80.6

Tackles

Archer3.3

ADE60.7

Clearances

Archer0.5

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Archer2.1

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Archer4.0

ADE138.8

Goals

Archer0.4

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Clearances

39.3per game · league avg 35.7

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Docklands0.6(8)+0.3

Everywhere else0.3(13)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(2)+0.6

Dry games0.4(19)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.